BCS implications and strength of schedule worksheet for Week 12

 
 
 
 

When favorites fall, like Alabama did to Texas A&M last weekend, storylines emerge. This time, it was the potential end of the SEC’s run of dominance, the tough conference schedule every SEC team must face and the potential for the Tide to climb back into the title picture.

But sometimes it’s the secondary storylines after an upset, which truly shape the title picture. This week, for instance, you can look to BCS No. 3 Notre Dame, with its all but maxed out computer score of .990, trailing Kansas State and Oregon in the BCS standings.

The climb for the Irish is daunting, and they will need a loss ahead of them. But it’s important to understand how we got here. Why is the pollsters’ No. 3 team the best in the computers? And where do Kansas State and Oregon fall short? Plus, where can that ground be made up?

That’s why we compile this worksheet. To answer these questions.

We’ll be compiling our implications and schedule strength worksheet every week the rest of the season. We’ll use the BCS rankings and Jeff Sagarin’s computer ranking to compile a look at what the nation’s best teams have accomplished, where they’re headed and the potential pitfalls and dangers associated with their upcoming schedule.

What will you find here? The top eight BCS teams (or smaller, if the “striking distance” shrinks), along with their record and strength of schedule, according to Sagarin.

Each team is also listed with key games already played, and key games to come. Key games are any against the BCS top 25 or the Sagarin top 60. If teams are unlisted in the BCS, they are listed with their Sagarin rank, and SOS is Sagarin-based.

Games for the upcoming weekend are bolded.

Note: All teams are included in the Sagarin data, including bowl-ineligible teams.

BCS No. 1 Kansas State Wildcats (10-0) SOS: 29

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) SOS: 15 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 23 Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-3) SOS: 36 — Won 55-24
  • BCS No. 24 Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3) SOS: 26 — Won 44-30
  • Sagarin No. 26 Iowa State Cyclones (5-5) SOS: 4 — Won 27-21
  • Sagarin No. 27 West Virginia Mountaineers (5-4) SOS: 19 — Won 55-14
  • Sagarin No. 28 TCU Horned Frogs (6-4) SOS: 25 — Won 23-10

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 15 Texas Longhorns (8-2) SOS: 23 — Dec. 1
  • Sagarin No. 47 Baylor Bears (4-5) SOS: 17 — Nov. 17

BCS No. 2 Oregon Ducks (10-0) SOS: 45

Important games already played:

  • Sagarin No. 18 Arizona Wildcats (6-4) SOS: 10 — Won 49-0
  • BCS No. 18 USC Trojans (7-3) SOS: 20 — Won 62-51
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (6-4) SOS: 2 — Won 52-21
  • Sagarin No. 36 Arizona State Sun Devils (5-5) SOS: 22 — Won 43-21

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 13 Stanford Cardinal  (8-2) SOS: 24 — Nov. 17
  • BCS No. 16 Oregon State Beavers (7-2) SOS: 3 — Nov. 24
  • Pac-12 Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-0) SOS: 28

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) SOS: 15 — Won 30-13
  • BCS No. 13 Stanford Cardinal  (8-2) SOS: 24 — Won 20-13
  • BCS No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-3) SOS: 37 — Won 13-6
  • Sagarin No. 37 Michigan State Spartans (5-5) SOS: 27 — Won 20-3
  • Sagarin No. 51 BYU Cougars (6-4) SOS: 51 — Won 17-14

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 18 USC Trojans (7-3) SOS: 20 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Won 21-17
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Lost 29-24
  • BCS No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-3) SOS: 37 — Won 41-14
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 38-7
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 42-10
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 33-14
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 44-13
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Won 52-0

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) SOS: 40

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Won 17-9
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Lost 35-7
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (6-4) SOS: 34 — Won 48-3
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 41-20
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 37-10
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 51-44

Important games remaining:

  • SEC Championship Game

BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) SOS: 40 — Lost 17-9
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Won 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Won 20-17
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Won 44-11
  • Sagarin No. 23 Vanderbilt Commodores (6-4) SOS: 34 — Won 31-17
  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Won 14-7
  • Sagarin No. 43 Tennessee Volunteers (4-6) SOS: 18 — Won 37-20

Important games remaining:

  • BCS No. 10 Florida State Seminoles (9-1) SOS: 90 — Nov. 24

BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14 — Lost 21-17
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Lost 14-6
  • BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13 — Won 24-19
  • BCS No. 9 South Carolina Gamecocks (8-2) SOS: 30 — Won 23-21
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 37-17
  • BCS No. 25 Washington Huskies (6-4) SOS: 2 — Won 41-3

Important games remaining:

  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Nov. 17
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Nov. 23
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential

BCS No. 8 Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) SOS: 13

Important games already played:

  • BCS No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1) SOS: 14 — Won 29-24
  • BCS No. 6 Florida Gators (9-1) SOS: 7 — Lost 20-17
  • BCS No. 7 LSU Tigers (8-2) SOS: 21 — Lost 24-19
  • BCS No. 20 Louisiana Tech (9-1) SOS: 129 — Won 59-57
  • Sagarin No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-3) SOS: 52 — Won 38-13
  • Sagarin No. 33 Ole Miss Rebels (5-5) SOS: 32 — Won 30-27
  • Sagarin No. 58 Arkansas Razorbacks (4-6) SOS: 31 — Won 58-10

Important games remaining:

  • Sagarin No. 25 Missouri Tigers (5-5) SOS: 5 — Nov. 24
  • SEC Championship Game — Potential


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