Each week we like to say something to effect that the BCS picture is clearing up and we’re getting a better understanding of the BCS picture.

It’s a lie.

In reality, with the unpredictable nature of the BCS and college football as a whole, the only time when we’ll ever have a clear picture is after the final game is played.

Luckily (or unluckily depending on how you view it) we will finally get the clarity that we’ve been working towards all season this weekend, as the 2010 regular season comes to an end with Championship Weekend.

Championship games in the Big 12, SEC and ACC along with conference-deciding games in the Big East will make this final weekend an exciting one beginning to end, and nearly every game has an effect on postseason positioning — especially of the BCS variety.

Among the guarantees of this weekend — which are few and far between — are that the winners of the three automatic qualifying conference championship games will be headed to BCS Bowls. And in all likelihood, the winner of the ACC game (Virginia Tech or Florida State) will be going to the Orange Bowl and the winner of the Big 12 game (Nebraska or Oklahoma) will be on their way to the Fiesta Bowl.

But past that, it gets a little more complicated. A win in the SEC Championship Game would obviously give the Auburn Tigers a berth in the BCS National Championship Game, but what if they lose to South Carolina? Where would Auburn end up and how would that shuffle the picture?

Where will TCU end up? The Horned Frogs are done with their season and would be headed to the Rose Bowl if they don’t get to the BCS title game and Oregon does, but what would it take to send the Horned Frogs to Glendale?

Oregon and Auburn stand in their way, and although the Ducks have already clinched a spot in the BCS, they will need to beat instate rival Oregon State on Saturday to secure their spot in the title game. A loss, and who knows, we could actually have the non-AQ team in the title game everyone has been talking about.

The Big East will also be supplying a team to the BCS, however it could easily be any of the three remaining teams in contention for the crown — who will all be in action on Saturday. Connecticut, West Virginia Pittsburgh, remain alive, with the Huskies controlling their fate despite having four losses to their name.

The final weekend of college football always features a bevy of possibilities to be pondered, but this year’s edition raises an exceptionally large number of questions and possibilities.

BCS Know How will be here on Saturday guiding you through the action and then on Sunday as bowl selections and BCS rankings are released.

To get up-to-the-second updates from BCS Know How follow us on Twitter @BCSKnowHow.

We’ll also be setting up a live chat for any questions and selection weekend hub page to help you gather all the information you’ll need in order to fully understand the selection process and BCS system when the time comes for the final announcements.

It’s going to be a great weekend, enjoy.

The Iron Bowl. Bedlam. The Backyard Brawl. The Game.

These are all rivalry games that rile up emotions regardless of record, implication, ranking or even sport. It just so happens, however, that during this extended Thanksgiving-weekend slate of college football games, all four have massive BCS implications. And they aren’t the only matchups this weekend that could send shock waves through the BCS and college football landscape.

Yes, just a week removed from all three top-three BCS teams taking the weekend off, we’ve come to a defining moment in the 2010 college football season, a Rivalry Week 13 that could start the domino effect that defines the BCS national title race and the BCS race as a whole.

Of course, we have to start in Tuscaloosa, where Auburn and Alabama will be playing a Friday afternoon showdown with huge BCS implications. An Auburn win would be great, and would likely help make Auburn the No. 1 team in the next set of BCS rankings. However, the chaos scenario that everyone’s been projecting since the BCS standings came out — a Crimson Tide victory — could start some BCS chaos that would be almost unmatched in the BCS era.

Oregon and Auburn have ridden the BCS wave at No. 1 and No. 2 respectively for a couple of weeks now, and they’ve yet to show signs of slowing down, however this Friday matchup could be the end of four weeks of relative BCS calm after we got off to such a raucous start with No. 1′s Alabama, Ohio State and Oklahoma falling on consecutive weekends.

The question has loomed for a while now — who would replace Auburn in the BCS national title picture if they were to fall to Alabama? Could it be Boise State, who will be tested sorely against Nevada late Friday? Or would it be TCU, who will have a rather pedestrian New Mexico team to deal with on Saturday?

These questions are ones that have been projected on for a while now, but the Tigers could render them all moot with a victory on Friday, and would likely be heavy favorites to make it all the way to the BCS National Championship Game with a win.

It may not have the title game implications of the Iron Bowl, but Bedlam in Stillwater on Saturday will play a deciding factor in at least one BCS bowl bid come bowl selection Sunday, as Oklahoma and Oklahoma State will likely be playing for a Big 12 South title and the accompanying Big 12 Championship Game bid.

Equally important to the BCS bowl picture, and possibly a deciding factor in who the Big 12 champion ends up playing in the Fiesta Bowl might be played out Friday afternoon in the Backyard Brawl between West Virginia and Pittsburgh. Both have spent the season as prime contenders in the muddled Big East title race, with Pittsburgh faring better thus far with just one conference loss to their name.

A loss by West Virginia here would almost certainly give the Panthers the inside track to the Big East crown, but a Mountaineer win would open up the conference race to four teams — the Mountaineers, Panthers, Connecticut and Syracuse — which would have to wait until the final week to be decided.

Finally, “The Game’ between Ohio State and Michigan is among three monumentally important Big Ten games occurring Saturday afternoon in which the Buckeyes will be playing for the possibility of a Big Ten title, along with Wisconsin and Michigan State. If all three win or all three lose, the race will have to be decided by the BCS standings (the Big Ten’s tiebreaker rule for three teams). However, a variety of other circumstances could occur, with the possibility remaining of all three claiming the title.

Other games from around the country, including Arkansas-LSU, Oregon State-Stanford and Maryland-NC State will all have seriously important implications on the final two BCS standings that will decide a number of variables in the college football season.

The question is now, how will it all turn out and will the BCS dominoes begin to settle into place, or fall all around the country?

We’ll find out over the course of three action-packed days.

With the top ten in the unchanged in the most recent BCS standings, people looking at the week 12 slate of games might find little reason to think that BCS chaos is nearby — and it may or may not be — but that certainly doesn’t mean there aren’t important matchups on tap this coming weekend.

Yes, the top three teams in the BCS are not hitting the field this weekend, but the gaggle of teams chasing them are certainly hitting the field with even more to play for, and important points to prove (and score).

The team with the most to gain in the next few weeks might be Boise State, who will start the college football weekend off on Friday night against Fresno State, the first of three important WAC games that the Broncos have to close out their 2010 season.

If the Broncos want to take advantage of their somewhat back-loaded final three game schedule and TCU’s single remaining game, they’ll have to make sure they’re firing on all cylinders the rest of the way in order to keep ahead of TCU in the human polls.

The group of three teams at the head of the Big Ten table — Ohio State, Michigan State and Wisconsin — are all in action this weekend as well, as all three try to do their best to climb the BCS standings as final BCS rank is the tiebreaker in case of a three-way tie in the conference.

Ohio State may have the best chance to do just that against Iowa, although the Hawkeyes recent loss to Northwestern certainly downplays the importance of the game for Ohio State’s computer rankings. Michigan State takes on Purdue while Wisconsin faces a test at the Big House against Michigan and Denard Robinson.

The current leaders at the one-loss BCS conference section of the BCS — a position that’s enviable this late in the season — LSU and Stanford will both have conference teams to deal with, but should be favored to continue their chase of an outside shot at a BCS title shot.

Positioning for BCS bowls is also of the utmost importance this time of year, and ACC matchups featuring Virginia Tech against Miami and Florida State and Maryland along with a Big 12 showdown between Nebraska and Texas A&M will have a lot to say about who gets the automatic BCS bids in those conferences come season’s end.

Its been three seasons since the No. 1 and No. 2 BCS teams after the fifth BCS standings have finished in those spots at the end of the year. Many things happened along the way to continue that streak for three years, including teams putting on surprising performances where they just weren’t expected.

There’s no reason to think it won’t happen again.

With less than a month left in the college football season, the field of BCS title contenders is whittling down to just a handful of teams.

Just four teams remain without a loss, and few teams with one loss still realistically have even an outside chance at the title game. However, if enough dominoes fall in a week 11 slate filled with conference matchups that some of the nation’s best teams could overlook, the BCS picture could expand once again and send us into a messy final few weeks.

None of the BCS top ten will be challenged with a ranked opponent this weekend after we’ve had a few consecutive weeks filled with just that.

But that certainly doesn’t mean that there isn’t the chance for upsets to rule the weekend once again.

BCS No. 1 Oregon takes the trip south to northern California to take on the up and down California Bears — whom the Ducks could easily overlook with Arizona and Oregon State slated in the weeks following.

The Ducks are in prime position to make a run to the BCS National Championship Game if they can run the table the rest of the way, but they will need to be wary of not only the marquee matchups coming up against the Wildcats and Beavers, but of this weekend’s test against the Bears.

The other team locked into a BCS title game bid if they win out are the Auburn Tigers. In the coming weeks they’ll see their rival Alabama in the Iron Bowl and a likely spot in the SEC Championship Game, however this weekend they’re faced with Georgia at home.

Of course, the Bulldogs have been underachievers to say the least this season, leading many to discount the possibility of an upset this weekend, but the Bulldogs have been playing better lately and with other distractions — like Cam Newton’s NCAA investigation — distracting the Tigers during the lead up to this game, this can not be a game the Tigers overlook.

BCS No. 3 TCU — the likely first replacement if either Auburn or Oregon take a tumble in the next few weeks — faces their final remaining test at home against 7-2 San Diego State, who could actually both knock the Horned Frogs out of the BCS chase but also the MWC drivers seat with an upset victory.

Boise State also hits the road for a conference battle — this time against Idaho — before they face the final quarter of their schedule, which includes tough games against the likes of Fresno State and Nevada.

The rest of the BCS top ten will be faced with similar tests, both on the road and at home — against conference foes that may not have the strongest of records, but still present tough challenges in a weekend that at first glance might seem to be lacking the usual oomph of a November weekend in college football.

You’ll just have to stay tuned.

Dubbing years with catchy monikers seems to be a favorite pastime of the national media — for example, baseball just had its “Year of the Pitcher,” where it was pitching and not offense that dominated the headlines.

The year in college football thus far could easily be classified as a “Year of the BCS Buster,” as it has been the mid-major powers and not the traditional giants of the game which have taken over the headlines around the country.

And in this year of unexpected contenders, this weekend could hold a defining moment in the hopes of the non-AQ BCS contenders.

The marquee non-AQ matchup of the year, Utah-TCU has dominated the coverage of the coming weekend — and with good reason. The winner of this matchup of Mountain West powers could go a long way towards a BCS bowl bid, and if a few dominoes fall in the right way, even a national title game bid.

Both teams have rode undefeated streaks to the tenth week of the season, although Utah has had less fanfare along the way than TCU. And not entirely surprisingly, neither team’s hype has compared to that of the undefeated run that Boise State has put together.

But as the BCS rankings stand now, No. 3 TCU is in a stronger position than Boise is at its fourth spot — a surprise result considering the extraordinary hope non-AQ supporters had put behind the Broncos to start the season.

Now it seems likely that a victory in one of four or five marquee matchups of the season could bring either team to the forefront of the race for the top non-AQ spot and possibly the first substitute if either Oregon or Auburn should stumble down the road.

Of course, many other matchups will have something to say about the plausibility of any of the three top non-AQ teams getting to Glendale on January 10.

One such matchup will join the TCU-Utah tussle as the headlining game of the weekend as Alabama and LSU play an effective knockout game for the SEC West title and long shot chance at the title game.

Both teams still rest in the BCS top ten and a victory in Baton Rouge on Saturday could open the door for a surprise visit to the title game from either team, although Alabama’s positioning at No. 6 sets up as a better striking position than LSU’s tenth spot, although a Tiger victory would do a great deal towards improving that positioning.

Many other BCS hopefuls will be in action, including the duo atop the most recent BCS standings — Oregon and Auburn. Both return home after tough week nine tests and welcome visitors to their home grounds — Oregon taking on Pac-10 foe Washington while Auburn takes a visit from FCS Chattanooga.

Victories are of the utmost importance this late in the season, as there is precious little time to make up for stumbles in the final weeks of the season, so all of the BCS hopefuls will need to bring their best against upset-minded underdogs.

Boise State will face a tough test against improved and dangerous Hawaii at home, while BCS conference contenders Wisconsin, Oklahoma and Nebraska all take to the road against difficult conference opponents.

In this “Year of the BCS Buster” every week seems to give us a new storyline and opens up the possibility of the biggest BCS bust of all time, and winning is at a supreme premium with favorites seemingly falling every week.

Stay tuned.

Can you believe that just two weeks ago, we were looking at 13 different undefeated teams?

Now after just two weeks of surprise and upset-filled college football, we’re down to just seven.

The road for the nation’s favorites and even for the No. 1′s haven’t been very comfortable. In fact, since Alabama put the smack down on Florida, we’ve had three different “No. 1″ teams fall in three successive weeks.

The Crimson Tide, Ohio State and then Oklahoma all took the tumble, leaving the national title chase as open as ever.

Could this be yet another weekend of upsets, spills and thrills around the nation?

Six of the seven remaining unbeatens hit the road this weekend, all against tough conference opponents, with the real possibility of seeing more than one fall victim to the upset bug that seems to be going around.

Of course, most would likely wager that the team coming of the highest high, Missouri (7-0) — having just defeated BCS No. 1 Oklahoma — would be most ripe for the upset when traveling to Lincoln to take on Nebraska, but that’s not the only worry for the group of seven.

Oregon (7-0), your pollster and mostly consensus No. 1 despite their poor strength of schedule, will take their high-flying spread offense to Los Angeles to take on a USC team that has upset in mind.

Could the Ducks be the fourth straight No. 1 to fall?

Or could it be BCS No. 1 Auburn (8-0), who just a week after claiming the BCS’s top spot with a ton of help from the computers, will be tested against Jeremiah Masoli and Ole Miss in Oxford.

The fact that they’re not No. 1 does nothing to protect the rest of the undefeated group, including Michigan State (8-0), who will have its toughest remaining test of the season this weekend at Iowa.

Utah (7-0) will be sorely tested against Air Force while the team the Falcons just fell to, TCU (8-0) may have the easiest of weekend tests against UNLV.

Of course, if any of these seven undefeateds fall — all of whom are ranked in the BCS top-eight this week — that would only spell more BCS chaos after two consecutive weeks of just that.

And waiting and hoping for just that is Boise State, who took a nice Tuesday game slot this week to get their week nine over with early — topping Louisiana Tech 49-20 at home.

A loss by either Oregon or Auburn could mean that the Broncos could finally find themselves among the top two in Sunday’s BCS rankings, while losses from any of the teams below them just means fewer teams to compete for slots when the top of the BCS does come crumbling down.

TCU, Michigan State and Utah are all hoping for the same chaos above them, but must do all they can to avoid falling victim to a loss before the chaos occurs.

Who knows — maybe week nine will be a kind of respite for the BCS and pollsters who have had to endure crises of conscious these past few weeks trying to find ways to judge teams from different conferences against one another.

But more likely (if the season thus far has been any indication) we’ll have yet another upset on our hands by the time the Saturday games are over, and more BCS controversy on Sunday night when the third edition of the standings are released.

And then of course, if we are to listen to some pundits, more than one of the teams in the group could take a hit, and then who knows what we’d see in the coming weeks, but who knows?

Maybe the BCS does?

With last weekend’s release of the season’s first BCS standings, the clock has official begun ticking on the national title hopes of the best teams in the nation.

Think you’ve got it all figured out? Well the last two weekends, the consensus No. 1 team in the nation has fallen. And fallen hard.

Now in week eight, with a bevy of games featured conference and national favorites on both sidelines, the stakes are as high as they’ve been in the 2010 season.

Way back in August, when BCS Know How looked at some of the more important games on the road to a national championship, week eight stood as one of the most important weekends on schedule. Now, two months later, this week’s slate of games might be even more important than first thought.

Oklahoma, newly crowned by the BCS as the No. 1 team in the nation takes on one of the surprises in the Big 12, Missouri, in Columbia. Could we have yet another upset in the making, and rankings chaos for a third straight week?

Oregon, who took the top spot in the polls that were released before the BCS appeared on Sunday night, will be tested in a Thursday night by UCLA, who did handily beat a Texas team that just beat Nebraska.

With Big 12 and Pac-10 teams atop the rankings and with Alabama towards the bottom of the top ten, the SEC might seem like its in an unusual position of having no title contenders.

That’s likely to change this weekend, as the two remaining undefeated SEC teams, LSU and Auburn will square off in that classic 3:30 ET SEC time slot. The winner in Auburn will likely make a nice leap up the rankings, especially when the BCS comes out on Sunday and place themselves squarely into the national title conversation.

Both teams will be tested again down the road by an always tough SEC schedule, but this top-six matchup will give us a clearer SEC picture moving forward and certainly will begin to put the SEC back into its familiar position as national title hopefuls.

The Big Ten picture is equally fuzzy after Ohio State’s fall in Madison last weekend, and a matchup between one-loss Iowa and Wisconsin will go a long way towards clearing up that picture, although surprise undefeated Michigan State is still in the drivers’ seat for the Big Ten title.

The Spartans will be severely tested by unranked Northwestern, who is the only one-loss teams from automatic qualifying conferences not to be ranked in the BCS top-25.

Non-AQ darlings TCU and Utah will look to continue their early season success against conference foes, and with victories along with idle Boise State could present us with a historical BCS standings come Sunday. With LSU and Auburn playing knockout on Saturday, we could have a top eight with three non-AQ teams.

But that’s well into the future, week eight has to come first, and as we’ve seen, almost anything can happen on any field at any time.

The entire nation should be on upset alert.

Are we in the midst of a power shift in college football?

The vaunted Southeastern Conference has supplied one of the contenders to the BCS National Championship Game for four years running, and when the 2010 season started, the conference showed no signs of slowing down.

But, after last weekend’s shocking upset of No. 1 Alabama, no SEC teams were ranked among the top in any of the media polls, and BCS Know How’s simulated BCS rankings showed LSU as the SEC’s top BCS team — at No. 7.

Just in case you’re wondering, the last time we had a BCS standings without a SEC team in the top-four was the second BCS rankings of the 2006 season. Yep, that’s just slightly less than four years without a top-four team, and we could very well see that streak broken when the the first BCS standings of the year come out on Sunday.

Even with some help, LSU is unlikely to jump that high, especially with FCS McNeese State on their Saturday slate. No. 8 Auburn will be tested however, against top-15 team Arkansas and could see their BCS stock rise in advance of Sunday’s first rankings.

Ohio State, who took over for Alabama atop the media polls last weekend, saw a surprising result in their simulated BCS positioning — at No. 5 — despite being favored to make their way to the BCS National Championship Game since the beginning of the season.

The Buckeyes will face their first true and possibly toughest Big Ten test on Saturday when they travel to Wisconsin’s Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Badgers in the weekend’s marquee prime time game. A victory would likely help the Buckeyes to be in a more fortuitous position when the actual BCS rankings appear on Sunday.

Surprise simulated No. 1 Boise State will look to continue its easy ride of a season against WAC foe San Jose State, while equally prominent BCS busting hopeful TCU (and No. 3 in the simulation) will welcome BYU to Fort Worth.

Big 12 contenders Nebraska and Oklahoma seem destined for a Big 12 Championship date, but will need to get by a pair of squads with 1-1 records in conference play as the Cornhuskers take on Texas and the Sooners face off against the Cyclones of Iowa State.

With just eight BCS weeks remaining in the college football season and the computers seemingly playing a larger-than-normal role in the BCS rankings — at least for now — its important that teams with national championship aspirations continue to impress.

But who will make the biggest statement in these last few days leading up to the season’s first BCS rankings?

If last week was a “moving weekend” then week six’s slate of games will certainly be a “proving weekend.”

All the teams that made their impressions on the college football landscape in these past few weeks — Alabama, Oregon, Michigan, Arizona and LSU to name a few — are faced with in-conference play in week six.

Do these teams look to make their way towards a conference title and maybe even the BCS National Championship Game?

Well if they do, this weekend will be a jumping off point for the taxing conference slate of games each of the automatic qualifying conferences subjects its member teams to each year.

Alabama — who just spent the last two weeks fending off top-ten SEC opponents — will again have to take on a ranked foe in South Carolina, in Columbia against a team coming off a bye and ready to make a big statement.

Surprise No. 9 Arizona will see Oregon State visit Tuscon while LSU will try to deliver Florida a shocking second SEC conference loss in a row when they visit the Swamp.

The ACC battle for Florida will once again pit Florida State and Miami in a tough conference battle that could propel either team towards a berth in the ACC Championship Game and will definitely boost the victor’s favor with both the BCS computers and the poll voters.

A battle in the southernmost state will be matched by a matchup in one of the northernmost, as undefeated Michigan will see an equally unblemished Michigan State come to Ann Arbor to visit the Big House in a possible early Big Ten elimination game.

All of the weekend’s games have the opportunity to make a huge impact on the BCS standings, which now are less than two weeks away and loom over a large group of high-level big-name programs who remain undefeated.

If any of the teams mentioned above want to stay in stride with the rest of the competition, a let down after proving their worth early in the season could be extremely damaging.

The BCS looms large.

Who will step up?

A full month into the college football season and we have some idea of where this season might be going.

But when we’re done with the first weekend of October, we’ll have an even better idea, as conference action brings some of the season’s best inter-conference matchups to life — with huge ranking and BCS implications to boot.

Of course any weekend that features a Florida-Alabama showdown or another year of the Red River Rivalry or even a matchup of top-ten Pac-10 teams would cause mass hysteria and anticipation.

But all three in the same weekend? What did we do to deserve this?

Well, which one is most important? Well it depends who you ask.

In terms of BCS implications, it would seem that the Alabama-Florida showdown in Tuscaloosa holds the most immediate weight, as Alabama would likely be No. 1 in the BCS standings if they were out this early in the season.

Florida too has a good chance to make its way back to the top of the BCS standings if it can top Alabama on the road.

Then again, a loss in the matchup would not eliminate either of the perrenial SEC contenders from the BCS national title race, as we’ve even seen two-loss SEC teams play for the national title (LSU in 2007).

No. 4 Oregon and No. 9 Stanford, harbingers of a possible Pac-10 resurgence will face off in a primetime showdown for immediate west coast supremacy, and probable huge boost from both the voters and computers in the short term. The Pac-10 might have a say in the BCS title race for the first time since the beginning of the recent SEC BCS domination.

Texas and Oklahoma highlight the start of the Big 12′s conference schedule with their annual renewal of the Red River Rivalry, while undefeated Oklahoma State and Texas A&M put their spotless records to the test against one another.

Unfortunately for both teams, the matchup will have significantly less weight after Texas fell to 2-2 UCLA last weekend, but will still largely affect the outcome of the Big 12 South in 2010.

The Big Ten features two ranked matchups in its first full week of conference action, as Iowa takes on Penn State while Wisconsin takes the trip to East Lansing to take on Michigan State.

As the inaugural BCS standings grow closer, the importance of each game grows, and with the action set out for us on the week five table, we couldn’t ask for much more.